What is the current risk level of Vance?

Based on current track, wind field, and forecast intensity, StormAtlas evaluates the overall risk level for Vance as MODERATE. Primary potential hazards include: Tropical storm gusts, localized urban flooding, and rough seas.

What was the peak intensity of Vance?

Vance achieved maximum sustained winds of approximately 65 km/h (35 kt / 40 mph) and a minimum central pressure of approximately 1003 hPa.

Where is Vance heading next?

Multiple numerical weather prediction models project Vance to continue along its predicted track. Check the interactive map above for updated path and uncertainty cone.

Will Vance hit Acapulco?

Based on track data, Vance is expected to remain approximately 599 km from Acapulco, with minimal direct threats currently anticipated.

How much rainfall could Vance produce?

Projected rainfall totals of approximately 50-150 mm (2-6 inches) may occur in affected areas, creating risks of flash flooding and urban flooding.

Can Vance cause severe rainfall and flooding?

Yes. Tropical systems carry abundant moisture, and outer rainbands can trigger flash flooding, river flooding, and urban flooding.

What safety precautions should be taken before Vance arrives?

Adjust preparations based on the storm category and official advice. Secure outdoor items, prepare emergency supplies, keep backup power available, and follow official advisories.

Have evacuation orders been issued for areas affected by Vance?

Evacuation decisions must strictly follow official directives issued by local emergency management agencies. If an evacuation order is issued, evacuate immediately using designated routes. Do not rely solely on a single forecast model.

How often is Vance tracking data updated?

StormAtlas regularly updates based on publicly available data from international meteorological agencies. The latest data update was at October 22, 2026 at 12:53 AM.

Vance developed over warm ocean waters under conditions of high atmospheric moisture and low vertical wind shear.

How are forecast tracks for Vance generated?

The forecast path integrates data from multiple international meteorological agencies and numerical weather prediction models (such as NHC, JMA, JTWC, and CMA) using ensemble forecasting methods to generate probabilistic forecast tracks.

Tropical Storm Vance Live Tracking Map

Active

Latest Official Advisory: 21 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT-7 (3h ago)

Local time · Active since 21 Oct 2026 08:00 GMT-7

Previous Storm:

Trudy

Loading live hurricane tracking map...

Interactive Live Storm Tracker

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Estimated Storm Impact Analysis

Real-time analysis of population and infrastructure exposure within the storm's wind field.

Radius: ~513 km

👥 Estimated Population at Risk

10.12Mpeople

🏥 Hospitals & Medical Centers

184facilities

🏕️ Evacuation Shelters & Centers

562centers

🏫 Schools & Critical Infrastructure

1349buildings

Basic Information

Current Wind Speed

40 mph (65 km/h)

Current Pressure

1003 mb

Forward Movement

Moving WSW at 6 mph (9 km/h)

Lifetime Peak Wind

40 mph (65 km/h)

Minimum Pressure

1003 mb

Region

Atlantic

Key Events

Formation

21 Oct 2026 08:00 GMT-7

9.5°N, 99.3°W

Frequently Asked Questions about Vance

Vance is currently located near 9.4°N, 99.8°W, with maximum sustained winds around 65 km/h (35 kt / 40 mph).

Vance remains active as a Tropical Storm system, with maximum sustained winds around 65 km/h (35 kt / 40 mph).

Key Meteorological Milestones

Synthesized from official bulletins (NHC/NOAA, JMA, CMA, KMA). Licensed for non-commercial educational & academic research.

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Genesis & Initial Classification

Tropical Depression

📅 21 Oct 2026 15:00 (21 Oct 2026 08:00 GMT-7)🌐 9.5°N, 99.3°W🏛️ Official

Wind Speed54 km/h (29 kt)

Pressure1005 hPa

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Named Storm Upgrade (TS)

Tropical Storm

📅 21 Oct 2026 21:00 (21 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT-7)🌐 9.4°N, 99.8°W🏛️ Official

Wind Speed65 km/h (35 kt)

Pressure1003 hPa

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Final Advisory / Dissipation

Tropical Storm

📅 21 Oct 2026 21:00 (21 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT-7)🌐 9.4°N, 99.8°W🏛️ Official

Wind Speed65 km/h (35 kt)

Pressure1003 hPa

💾Best-Track Scientific Dataset Exporter

🟢 Live Working Track (Updating)

Synthesized research-grade meteorological data ready for Excel, Python Pandas, or GIS platforms, compliant with academic citations and multi-agency validation.

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Meteorological Data Transparency & Public Safety Notice

StormAtlas tracking models and advisories are synthesized from public bulletins issued by NOAA/NHC, JTWC, JMA, and CMA for situational awareness and scientific research. For emergency evacuation orders, hazard warnings, and life-safety decisions, please strictly adhere to directives from your local emergency management agencies and national meteorological services.